Assembly is likely, in an attempt to rebuild their electoral hegemony and some kind of agreement with the business sectors. The government of Yaku Pérez is perhaps the most uncertain of the three. His only source of initial power would be the powerful indigenous movement, the most organized social movement (strictly speaking, the only one) in the country. It is not enough, but it is a base that is less malleable than the will and personal charisma of Correa, who is the main political asset that Andrés Aráuz's party has.
Without Pérez, Conaie would continue to be more or less what it has always been; If Correa disappeared tomorrow, his entire movement would be orphaned, without leadership and without a credible opportunity to reinvent itself. Dispersion, polarization, repolarization. A a reissue of personalist caudillismo, an authentic, heterogeneous and vital social movement, urged to invent a difficult and uncertain political hegemony. In the February 2021 elections, the alternatives are authentic. And they are not two, but three.
March is usually an emblematic month in Paraguay and this year was no exception. In a wave of mobilizations, part of the citizenry demanded the resignation of the right-wing president Mario Abdo Benítez as a result of the mishandling of the covid-19 pandemic and the increase in poverty and inequality in the country. However, the fire of the protests was slowly dying down. What remains of those protests? What is the situation today in a Paraguay hit by the health crisis?